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Race Thread: NXS Desert Diamond Casino West Valley 200 at Phoenix Raceway, starting at 5:15pm EST on NBCSN (NXS33)

Desert Diamond Casino West Valley 200 at Phoenix Raceway
Green Flag: approximately 5:15pm EST on November 7th
Television: NBCSN @ 5:00pm EST
Radio: MRN @ 5:00pm EST
Race Length: 200 laps (200 mi / 321.87 km)
Race Stages: 45-45-110
Track Information: Phoenix Raceway is a 1 mile (1.61 kilometer) D-shaped tri-oval located in Avondale, AZ USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: #7 Justin Allgaier
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
(P)  7   22   20   10   18   39   51   21   44   13   36   08   15   78   07   47   74   93   66 
 98   11   9   19   1   02   68   92   8   4   0   26   90   6   52   5   61   99 
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
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Race Thread: NCS Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway, starting at 2:46pm EDT on NBC (NCS33)

Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway
Green Flag: approximately 2:46pm EDT on October 18th
Television: NBC @ 2:30pm EDT
Radio: MRN @ 2:30pm EDT
Race Length: 267 laps (400.5 mi / 644.54 km)
Race Stages: 80-80-107
Track Information: Kansas Speedway is a 1.5 mile (2.41 kilometer) quad-oval located in Kansas City, KS USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: 9 Chase Elliott
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(P) 9 1 19 11 12 20 41 8 3 37 17 47 13 96 32 00 53 15 66 7
22 4 88 2 24 14 48 10 21 18 95 43 34 6 42 38 27 77 51 49
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
NASCAR Drive at NASCAR.com
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Race Thread: NCS Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, starting at 3:14pm EDT on NBCSN (NCS20)

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Green Flag: approximately 3:14pm EDT on August 2nd
Television: NBCSN @ 3:00pm EDT
Radio: PRN @ 3:00pm EDT
Race Length: 301 laps (318.46 mi / 512.51 km)
Race Stages: 75-110-116
Track Information: New Hampshire Motor Speedway is a 1.058 mile (1.7 kilometer) oval located in Loudon, NH USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Starting Lineup at NASCAR.com (PDF)
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
NASCAR Drive at NASCAR.com
Notes:
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Race Thread: NCS FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway, starting at 4:18pm EDT on NBCSN (NCS21)

FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway
Green Flag: approximately 5:18pm EDT on August 8th
Television: NBCSN @ 5:00pm EDT
Radio: MRN @ 5:00pm EDT
Race Length: 156 laps (312 mi / 502.11 km)
Race Stages: 40-45-71
Track Information: Michigan International Speedway is a 2 mile (3.22 kilometer) D-shaped oval located in Brooklyn, MI USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: 22 Joey Logano
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(P) 22 4 2 18 14 12 6 21 48 24 34 20 00 15 95 38 53 37 96 7
11 10 88 9 1 19 8 41 3 42 17 43 27 51 74 47 13 32 66
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
NASCAR Drive at NASCAR.com
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Lets be rational autists and think about this whole thing for sec

This phrase "dont fight the fed" has gained major popularity, you even got your wive's boyfriend saying it by now. yeah thats all fine and dandy but, how long can the fed keep pumping this shit. just last week we've confirmed that there will be a second wave. Theres no ifs or buts, its confirmed. so what does that entail.
Well, for starters, the pent up demand is going to remain pent up. Mays numbers had given hopes to everyone that this was all over, that the rona was done for and everything will return to normal quicker than what people thought. Well... WRONG. Nothing is normal, and the market made a terrific bounce from the march lows without such a terrific bounce in the economy.
Listen you autist dipshits, SOMETHING IS VERY WRONG HERE. There is a major restructuring of the economy happening right now that hasnt happend since the Great Depression. The service sector is taking a major major hit right now and the future is unclear on how were going to come out of it on the other side.
GDP is 70% consumer spending. this is made up of two things, goods and services. Goods account for 25% of GDP and Services account for 45% of GDP. (https://www.thebalance.com/components-of-gdp-explanation-formula-and-chart-3306015#:~:text=The%20four%20components%20of%20gross,economic%20output%20for%20each%20year.)
Now lets be special little autists and put the pieces together. Nikes earning report were worse than expected by quite a lot actually, a whole 38%. what does that mean? well that people arent spending their cash, theyre saving, youve seen the charts. well, there goes the feds stimulus and unemplyment insurance. On top of that, as we all know, the service sector is as FUK as as my puts placed on march 24th. to reiterate to you illiterate bitch ass cock gobling autists, nobody is dining out, nobody is traveling, and nobody in casinos or hotels. rip bars and clubs.
This is not all, which type of businesses has this whole thing hurt the most? well none other than your uncles small business. your uncles business is among the many that make up 45% of this economy's GDP.(https://www.jpmorganchase.com/corporate/institute/small-business-economic.htm#:~:text=Small%20businesses%20accounted%20for%2045,percent%20in%20the%20late%201990s.&text=48%20percent%20of%20all%20US,percent%20in%20the%20early%202000s.)
Now you inpubesant bull, if even some of the big dogs in businesses are at the brink of bankruptcies, what does that mean for these small businesses? are they going to weather this thing like the likes of apple or microsoft or google? um *nervous laughter* proboblay not. at least half will close permanently.
So if 70% of GDP is FUK. the markets right now are in fairyland. straight up rosy sprinkled and evrything.
There is major uncertainty right now and this will remain for the foreseeable future. Listen, im pretty sure these earning reports are going to be worse than expected, we are half way til we see Q2 numbers for the year and things are looking gloomy. and yet somehow the markets are very close to being at all time highs with a few companies surpassing their ATHs. Tell me, are these companies better off since feb of this year, are the forecasts looking exceptional for growth? um i dont think so you autist peanut.
There is a major disconnect with the markets and whats going on in the economy. MAJOR. sit back and reflect like the special autist you are. Something is wrong here, very wrong. The fastest 30% drop in history followed by the fastest 46% gain? what kinda bullshit is this? this would make sense if there was a terrorist attack and we've recovered from it, but this whole thing is not over yet as confirmed with the second wave.
The damage already done is so immense. So immense that the fed nearly doubled it balance sheet in less than a year compared to all of modern history. All of that and this is still not over.. oh no its far from over. the single biggest cases for CV happened 2 DAYS GO. TWO!! IN LATE JUNE! not even september, let alone october and novenmber. rip. sorry guys but in two weeks the CV deaths will begin to rise again. economy is FUK.
Major Major solvency issue going on here. Can the FED save all these businesses from going bankrupt?? Can the fed keep increasing their balance sheet by a Trilllion dollars every single month till everything returns to normal by august 2021?? That my good sir is at least 12 trillion dollars more. Will the almighty fed increase their their holy balance sheet to 20 trillion dollars?? WILL THEY??? Will the fed convince people to spend despite masses dying!?? Despite all these people "furloughed"? Can the fed return the unemplyment rate to less than 8%?????????
Im no financial analyst, but all these indicators are not ingredients for a booming or thriving economy, especially none that should make stock values to exceed ATHs. I hope im wrong, but its really hard to pretend everythings ok right now.
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Honestly I hope Nacon reads this, I've spent quite some time for this post.

Dear Nacon, Please read this.

The following list is a compilation of all the wish lists and features that TDU fans including me have said so far... would be bonkers if they really read this mate!
These features are not in TDU2 but were available in TDU1 ... And we suggest to re-add them in TDU3 .
  1. Immersive Dynamic Audio System : In TDU unlike TDU 2 you can hear the ambient audios when driving ... This makes the whole world of TDU bloody immersive !! While in TDU2 the ambient sounds stop playing when you drive your car faster than 45 KM/h or so . Comparing to TDU1 TDU2's audio has never been immersive and its Audio system worsened it. The only good thing in terms of the TDU2's Audio is the sound effects in the safe houses! TDU 1 > TDU2 in terms of Audio !
  2. The chillaxing situation : Unlike The Crew game TDU is NOT an Adrenaline-Intense game ... This game should not be about intense jumps nor unrealistic stunts ... it would be pretty alien for TDU atmosphere if you guys add these too arcade stuff . TDU has never been a simulator and it should not be but don't make TDU3 a too childish arcade game IMO ... Getting points for ridiculous jumps and weird stunts doesn't fit TDU !!!!
  3. Keyboard H-Gate + Clutch only for the cars that have manual gearbox in real life : TDU1 has "H-Gate and Clutch" option for Keyboard and Joystick users ... You had to use hacking/Key-mapping tools to get the gearing and using the clutch to work in TDU2 ... We don't want that . We want TDU3 to feature a clutch key just like TDU1
  4. More detailed Audio Settings : Unlike TDU2 TDU1 had way more detailed audio settings system and I actually use all of them to make the TDU1 world more immersive !
  5. MP3 and M3U support : TDU1 lets you add M3U files and playlists to your custom radio station! The custom radio station is useful and easier than playing a music in an external app !!
  6. Longer & more populated tyre smoke : Unlike the shambles particle system of TDU2 , TDU1 has a better and kind of brilliant tyre smoke FX ... The tyre smoke last longer in the air and it just looks better in TDU1 !!!!
  7. More options in Photography mode : Unlike TDU2 TDU1 has many more controls in the Photography mode ... You can add filters hide driver change date and weather... would be handy to recycle those for TDU3 !
  8. Start button : In TDU ( unlike TDU2 ) you can start your car by pressing a key . This made the game a bit more realistic than TDU2 :]
  9. The fast camera transition mode : In TDU 1 you can change the transition speed of the camera by holding the C ( Camera ) key I found it super handy :]
  10. The additional camera modes : In TDU 1 there is a camera mode that changes its FOV based on the speed of your car. And I found myself using that camera mode a lot and missed it in TDU2. Would be fancy if you also add a Cinematic Camera mode ( just the like GTA's ) as well !
  11. Hardcore mode / G-Metre : I am not a big fan of the hardcore mode of TDU but it made that old arcade physics system a bit challenging and refreshes the game after a while . Plus that game-play mode never interfered in Multiplayer ... !
  12. Various weather options : TDU1 has more weather settings than TDU2 would be great to include more weather options like rain rainbows overcast semi-cloudy extra sunny stormy windy ... :]
  13. Realistic road lines and road signs: You literally could use the road lanes and road signs in TDU1 unlike in TDU2 . not to mention that the road lanes of the roads of TDU1 actually have meanings !!!!
  14. Floating leaves, newspaper and other particles : Unlike TDU2 You could see leaves and newspapers and leafs floating around . That feature is pretty fancy enough to add to TDU3 for more immersion :]
  15. Ship sounds : In TDU We could hear sounds from ships
  16. Radio off by turning the volume to zero : In TDU ( unlike TDU2 ) you could just turn off the radio if you set the radio vol to zero. TDU2 missed this feature !!!!
  17. Real dead-end roads : The asphalt road of TDU2 is way unfinished than TDU1 and we don't want that for TDU3. For example in TDU2 you could drive to a deadend road where the asphalt suddenly goes from asphalt to literal nothing . You can add dirt or broken asphalt effect to the roads to make them more realistic !
  18. Wind/Sound distortion : In TDU ( unlike TDU2 ) you can hear the wind / Sound distortion . Would be wicked to re-add this feature in TDU3
  19. Faster UI : The UI system of TDU2 is too slow while TDU1 has a better UI system in terms of the transition speed !!!!
  20. Windows affect audio sound : When closing / opening car windows in TDU1 the sound would change accordingly
  21. The electricity lines movement : When it is windy the lines shake quickly in TDU1 !!!!
  22. Realistic and way detailed car data sheets : The car data sheet of the car dealers and the garage is more detailed and informative than TDU2 making TDU1 a bit more serious driving game
  23. Tachometer : I could easily tell which car is my favourite with that feature ! also I imagined engine oil change timing and stuff like that ... don't judge me lol!
  24. Realistic gauges : Each of the cars in TDU1 has their own realistic gauge !!!!
  25. Physics system : Last but not least I have to mention the physics system although they're gonna use a much better one anyway . TDU1 physics was ace if you compare it to the one for TDU2 !!!
So these were the quirks and features that were in TDU1 unlike TDU2 . And we think those must be in TDU3 too .

These features were later added to TDU2 and we think it is wicked to see them back in TDU3 !
  1. On foot : Playing the character on foot for some scenes made the game more immersive!
  2. Hairstylists : Going to a barbershop and modifying player's hairstyle I suggest to add more long hairstyle options as well as wigs !!!!
  3. Face lifting : TDU1 and TDU2 both let you modify player's face however in TDU2 you can go to a clinic and it is wicked !!!
  4. Various clothing items : In TDU2 there are more items to choose like hats and stuff . which is good to be frank !!!!
  5. House Modification : There is a feature to customise the house to make'em feel more homie pretty neat . Definitely suggest to re-add this feature in TDU3 !
  6. Weather forecast : You can switch on the TV to see the weather forecast was great and had good UI also !
  7. Day/Night cycle : Although it is better than only-day cycle I'd say shorten the night cycle and have more daylight :]
  8. Detailed house tour : In TDU1 there is a house tour feature but in TDU2 that is more detailed in Real Estate agencies !!!!
  9. Casino : How would you be able to pretend you're rich but can't do what rich people do?! Casinos should be in TDU3 . The cut scenes should also be there !!!!
  10. Rain : Rain effects in TDU2 are okay at least it is better than nothing!
  11. Off Road : SUVs and offroad settings in TDU2 is a good idaea perhaps TDU3 would have it .
  12. Timed missions : the one-time missions the ones that you can't retry later if you either miss them or do them are great to once again be in TDU3 . However I'd say add more variety so that they won't look repetitive !!!!
  13. Road Exploration Score : The more you drive the more score you get which in return gives you ability to buy more items . That TDU2 idaea forces players to explore and learn the map :]
  14. Landscape Exploration Score : There are landmarks that player can take a photo and get more exploration ( or "discovering" iirc ) score . This also makes players to be more familiar with Hawaii or Ibiza . Good stuff for TDU3 also !
  15. Abandoned car parts : The "Barn find" feature is a great mini game for TDU2 TDU3 needs this for sure !
  16. Ocean and beach with better graphics : The graphics of ocean in TDU2 has sea foam and depth in it the beaches are more detailed too !!!!
  17. Sticker and livery shop : The decal / sticker / livery shop in TDU2 is good an updated version would also be good for TDU3 :]
  18. Second handed car dealers : You've gotta use those cars to get the fancy Yacht quicker !
  19. Retractable car roofs: Not sure why but when it was sunny in the game I had to remove the roof and vise-versa! Gotta love doing it again in TDU3 !
  20. Blinkers : Using them did not affect the traffic cars in TDU2 but perhaps in TDU3 this also could be a thing ?!!!
  21. Car Details : Gearing animation Wing and spoiler animation etc etc etc !!!!
  22. Car damage : TDU1 did not have car damage TDU2 had fake damage, I'd expect TDU3 to have a better damage simulation . something like soft-body would be bloody wicked!!!!!
  23. Car wash : car washes with more realistic characters and animation would be nice to have in TDU3 !!!!!
  24. Fishes, those cats and the small details : TDU2 sometimes looked more immersive because of the smaller details that weren't in TDU1 . However I'm not sure if there're birbs flying in TDU2 TDU3 better have all these animals and some!!!!!
  25. Detailed navy ships and buildings : Hawaii in TDU2 is simply more detailed than TDU1 . We expect the same for the next TDU3 and a TDU game without Honolulu is a like a Fast and Furious movie but without manual gearbox cars ! :]
So these were the quirks and features that were in TDU2 . And we think those have to be in TDU3 too .
Cheers mate ! :]
- From the TDU community all around the world , and me here in the sunny Australia !
submitted by Some_Folk to tdu3 [link] [comments]

[Table] I'm Jeff Galak, Professor of Marketing & Social and Decision Science at Carnegie Mellon University. I have published dozens of academic papers on decision making, consumer behavior, and more. I have also recently launched a new YouTube channel called Data Demystified. AMA! (pt 1/3)

Source | Signoff
Note: This table may potentially contain information that can be construed as self-doxxing. Please don't actually try to take advantage of this.
Questions Answers
Hey Jeff! I'm a minimalist & find that I'm happier with less stuff & when I give/receive experiences rather than items. Do you find consumer happiness reflects this shift towards minimalism since that is a (small, but seemingly growing) trend, especially among Millennials? Great question! There is some relatively new research looking at happiness from experiences vs. material possessions. Most of it shows that happiness from equally valued (e.g. price) experiences is higher than for possessions. HOWEVER, and this is a big however, all that work tends to ignore long run happiness with highly prized possessions. For instance, if you have a sentimentally valued object, happiness that stems from that object lasts for a long time. What most possessions don't do is provide long lasting happiness. You buy a new shiny toy and it DOES make you happy...but that happiness goes away quickly. My collaborators and I have termed this idea "Hedonic Decline."
So as for minimalism, there is not evidence that I know of that shows that less possessions make you happier. There's plenty showing that more possessions don't make you happier, but that's not the same thing.
One more layer of complexity: there are two routes to happiness: hedonic and eudaimonic. The former is what we usually think of when we think of happiness: how much joy does XYZ bring me. The latter, however, is closer to self-actualization. It's the happiness the comes from a accomplishing something....even if there was pain involved in getting there. I wonder if minimalism can increase eudaimonic happiness.
the below is a reply to the above
That's interesting. Thank you for responding. In the minimalism community, self-actualization is reflected in endeavors such as achieving certain goals (like, paying off debt) that usually involves some amount of self-discipline &/or self-sacrifice. I'd say that the vast majority of research in happiness excludes eudaimonic happiness, largely because it's so hard to measure. My personal, non-data supported, take is that eudaimonic happiness is far more important than hedonic happiness. The latter is fleeting, whereas the former can be life changing.
the below is a reply to the above
Beautifully said. Thank you.
the below is another reply to the second answer
How does depression affect eudaimonic happiness compared to hedonic happiness? Great question and I don't know the answer. Social Psychology typical studies what we very poorly term "normal" psychology, which excludes clinical conditions like depression. Sorry!
the below is another reply to the second answer
What’s your take on “pay to play” - as in, some “hedonic” purchases at are required to signal you’re in the game, making progress on eudaimonic happiness. When you get older and into your career, I’d venture many people have already figured out that hedonic happiness doesn’t do squat long-term, but there’s a balance in terms of how much hedonic happiness to have to acquire for the ultimate long-term eudaimonic happiness. Example: in sales, which I’m in tech analytics sales, companies want to spend for solutions to business problems, but they also want to see, visually, that the person they’re paying is a good representative for them. High cost equals a person that can represent that taste. Nice. Tailored suits, a nice watch and latest tech gadgets. There’s a pay to play aspect that signals to the world who I am, and that in turn actually allows me to get what I want- student loans paid off and early retirement.. I don't think there's any conflict here. If you will find some form of life satisfaction by succeeding in your career, there's no harm in also purchasing items that help you reach that goal. Those items can, in and of themselves, make you happy...nothing wrong with that. More to the point, hedonic and eudaimonic happiness don't have to be in opposition. You can have both!
the below is another reply to the original answer
I really like this response. While i can jive with basic premise of experiences over possessions...i’m find it used a lot by people who actually just want to shirk obligation. I run HHiring and there is a persistent trend of people not wanting to act like their job is important..just because it’s easier to justify bailing on work/shifts to go do things when you can say you’re doing it for the experience, not focusing on the money you make at a job. I’m trying to figure out the best way to respond to people who think i’m some big bad money grubbing boss for wanting people to do their jobs. Meanwhile, in my personal life...i feel like i’m getting a lot of push back socially from people who think i should only work where i can just make my own schedule and dip put for an “experience” whenever. At the end of the say, it feels like people will just wax philosophic reasons for demanding leisure with all the material perks of having jobs and working. Great point. This relates to intrinsic vs. extrinsic motivation. The former is the desire to do something because it's inherently interesting/rewarding. The latter is doing something for compensation. This is more in the realm of organizational behavior, and you'll have to wait for my wife who is also a professor, but of organizational behavior and theory, to do an AMA for more on that :)
Hello, thanks for doing this. Are you familiar with "loot boxes" in video games? I feel like the topics of a lot of your papers would fit right into why consumers/businesses use loot boxes. How does a loot box mechanic differ from gambling and should it be treated the same? (Regulation, age restriction, etc) If they are the same, how do you feel about video games including a loot box mechanic? Sticking with gambling parallels, what are your thoughts on video game companies targeting "whales" given that gamers can be any age nowadays? I'm not a gamer myself (though I do love TTPRGs and run a D&D 5e campaign), but I'm pretty familiar with loot boxes. Mobile games and social media platforms in general have become very good at continuous reinforcement. It can be the allure of getting a new outfit in a loot box or just an upvote on Reddit...the point is that we are wired to love small rewards, even if those rewards are meaningless. Casinos have mastered this art and loot boxes are an capitalizing of the same basic psychological mechanisms: need for positive reinforcements. So are loot boxes the same as gambling? Probably not the SAME, but damn close. As for regulation, I am strongly in favor of making gambling of all forms only accessible to adults and even then providing access to counseling for those who suffer from gambling addiction.
I have a lot less sympathy towards wealthy adults who choose to gamble as a form of entertainment. The problem is that it's not always obvious who's a whale and who's just pretending to be one for the attention. The latter is highly susceptible to financial ruin and I'd want them protected just the same as they are with standard gambling.
the below is a reply to the above
Do you find the researcher in you observing and asking questions about the players' decision making processes in your D&D campaign? My old DM minored in psychology, and I often felt like a rat in his experiments. I enjoyed it, though. It kind of added an extra facet to the game. More than my research, teaching has made a huge difference in being a DM. When I lecture, I am forced to be quick on my feet to understand student questions, reply accordingly, and make sure that I'm moving the lecture along. That is the same with DMing. I need to be able to understand the motives of my players, respond appropriately with NPCs, and keep the story going.
I'm sure that my knowledge of psychology helps, but I wouldn't think it influences the way I DM (or play) that much.
the below is a reply to the above
Studying business Psychology in Switzerland and leading the yawning portal atm, seems like I need to start teaching :p Ha! Check out this thread: https://www.reddit.com/WaterdeepDragonHeist/comments/fcc89a/the_yawning_portal_a_drinking_song_and_boss_music/
I used that for my game and it was great.
the below is another reply to the original answer
Could I join your 5e campaign? Ha! Sorry, no. It's just close friends and we're months into it. I'm running Waterdeep, if you're curious.
the below is a reply to the above
I'm applying to Carnegie's MBA for what it's worth! If I'm accepted, may I join then? ;-) How about you get in and then we discuss!
Hi Jeff! What is your favorite heuristic or logical fallacy when it comes to decision making? Can you teach us about one that people might not know about? Easy: Diversification Bias. That's where I started my career 15 years ago. I didn't discover this bias, but have built on it. Anyway, it's the idea that people choose more variety than they should. For example, if you are going to pick some snacks for the next few days, you might pick: chips, pretzels and an apple. Those are fine, but really chips are your favorite and you picked the other two because you thought you'd get tired of chips every day. Well, turns out you'd be wrong. A day is enough to reset satiation/hedonic-decline in most cases, so you'd be better off always picking your favorite option! Doing otherwise means eating snacks that are less preferred.
A new one that my doctoral student, Julian Givi, and I recently published: The Future Is Now (FIN) Heuristic. It's the idea that people believe that future events will be like present events, even when evidence points to the contrary. An example: if it's sunny today, you're more likely to think it'll be sunny tomorrow, even if the forecast clearly predict rain. What happens is you treat information about the present as having evidentiary value for future events, even when that's just not true.
the below is a reply to the above
I really like that you give your student credit. PhD students do all the hard work. Professors just bask in the glory :)
the below is another reply to the original answer
I think diversification bias is how I ended up with 5 shades of blue nail polish that are virtually undistinguishable from each other! Interesting to consider. Ha! Just might be...
Tell me about your paper "Sentimental value and gift giving: Givers’ fears of getting it wrong prevents them from getting it right". From what I read of the abstract, it seems that gift-givers undervalue sentimental value, seeing it as riskier. Why is that, and how can we give better gifts? Sure, this is a paper with my former doctoral student, Julian Givi. Basically, people are risk averse in gift giving when they shouldn't be. If I know you like coffee and I have a choice to give you some nice coffee beans or a framed photo of the two of us (presumably since we're friends), I give the former b/c it's a sure bet. But as the recipient, overwhelmingly, people prefer the latter. So givers should take the risk and give the sentimentally valuable gift over one that is more a sure bet.
the below is a reply to the above
Interesting. When giving presents, givers focus too much on the recipient's known wants, which gets in the way of giving a meaningful present. Thank you! I'll be sure to keep that in-mind next Christmas. That's exactly it.
the below is another reply to the original answer
I sometimes hesitate at this. I don’t want to come off as the selfie culture of all about me in pictures! But relatives do love getting pics of the kids for gifts. Still, how often is this perceived as a form of narcissism by the gift receiver? Edit: pictures of my kids not just me! One trick we do: every Christmas holiday we print full size calendars with our kids pictures on them. That's our holiday gift to all the grandparents. They LOVE it.
We also send small photo books to the grandparents throughout the year of some of the best pictures we take.
We have yet to send too many, but that's specific to our family.
The best advice I always have for something like this is: just ask! People are often worried about asking gift recipients about their preferences, but our research shows that a) recipients don't care about being asked and b) you can give better gifts that way.
Hi Jeff ! I have a question regarding involvement in a purchase, is there an increasing trend to become highly involved in the purchase of even low value object ? I find myself doing this during the pandemic doing comparison searches for a bulb which costs 10 dollars. Is this an exception ? Or is there some underlying psychological reason isolated to me ? Absolutely. Two reasons this could be happening. 1) With more free time, the threshold for what merits deep research drops a lot. 2) Many people are facing financial hardships, and so making sure every dollar is well spent becomes really important.
Hi Jeff, Thank you for the great AMA. Where do you see the future of insights departments in consumer companies? Most companies looks like giving up on ethnographic and in person research and focus on data analytics. I speculate management is under great pressure and in the meantime aspire to Google, Amazon etc. What is your take of insights departments future in large companies? Thank you! Exploratory research like ethnographies, interviews, and focus groups is really useful for brainstorming. But they are a poor substitute for quantitative data. Now, that doesn't mean "big data"...just data that has larger samples and is better representative of populations. Surveys are still amazing. When we want to forecast an election, we don't use big data, we conduct a political poll. They work.
But yes, right now, AI and machine learning are the hot new ideas on the block and everyone wants in on them. There is plenty of amazing applications of AI/ML, but what they can't do is tell you "why". As in, why did someone choose this option over that one? Or why are people motivated by this goal or that goal? Those types of answers allow you to apply knowledge in completely novel contexts. AI/ML needs to be trained on a specific type of data for a specific type of task. It is AMAZING at that. But as soon as you introduce a new context or new set of experiences, it fails. That's where good old fashioned surveys and behavioral experiments come in.
If a program was built to help us make better decisions, do you think we would use it? Do you think we can listen to a program’s advice better than we do from experts? We already do. Weather forecasts tell us how to dress. Facebook tells us what to think. Tinder tells us who to date. Etc... etc...
A program that EXPLICITLY tells you what to do won't work too well. People like to feel like they have free will. They don't, though. We are greatly influenced by our environment (not just technology) whether we know it or not. As one example: I can guess your weight reasonably well just by knowing your zip code (please don't make me actually do this as I'm not in the business of public shaming!). If we had true free will and agency, that should be impossible. Instead, we are the products of our environment.
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60641 Chicago? I believe Illinois has 30-35% obesity (I'm doing this quickly and not looking at your zip specifically), so pretty high weight.
Hi Jeff! Since I'm a 14 yrs old and knew nothing about what you study, I have very limited questions I can ask. But as I have observed, people are often sheepish and will consume as the trend goes. What is the most unexpected trend, worldwide? P.S. will defo check out your channel I don't expect most people to know my work (I like to think my ego isn't THAT big!), so no worries!
You're right. Trends will drive a lot of human behavior. We are social creatures and follow what others do much more than we care to admit. As for the most unexpected trend, that's really hard to say. Maybe this is too broad, but I'm surprised by how short people's attention span is when it comes to current events. News cycles used to last for weeks, now they last for hours. I suppose I know that people don't have long attention spans, but I'm still surprised.
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Any underlying reasoning for this? For the short attention spans? We can invoke evolutionary psychology, which I'm not a big fan of, and it would suggest something like a tensions between exploring and cultivating. So it would argue that our ancestors needed to have some reason to leave their immediate tribe to find new resources. So perhaps our attention spans are short b/c of this and the current environment exaggerates that behavior.
Have you done(or can you point to) any research relating to the decision making/not making around getting rid of possessions? I have a relative who keeps anything that has a perceived value as in could be sold on ebay/garage sale which they never sell. They are otherwise rational, clean, don't over consume..def not hoarder territory.. but I struggle to convince them that the old digital camera that's been sitting for 3 years could just be disposed of. Hoarding is definitely a thing. There isn't much in the study of item disposition in the empirical world of research (lots of interesting qualitative work that I'm less familiar with). The big exception to this is the Endowment Effect. The short version is that you value items you own more than if you don't own it. So a mug sitting on a store shelf is worth, say $10 to you, but as soon as you own it is worth, say, $20 to you. Nothing changed except your ownership of it. That explains some of hoarding behavior, but not all of it.
For a qualitative research paper on the topic, see here: https://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/mcb/216/2010/00000013/00000001/art00001
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I suppose I have the Endowment Effect. Everytime I find something valuable i dont have the will to let it go. Even though i can sell it and re buy it later, or buy something similar haha. It's like I want to take the most of it and use it til it brakes, go missing, or whatever. The endowment effect isn't infinite. As in, it's not that you won't be willing to sell your items for ANY price, it's just that your willingness to sell is higher than your willingness to buy.
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Hey Professor, appreciate the AMA. A couple of questions: 1) Just from my own thoughts banging around in my head and observations I've made during the pandemic, do you see the pause our society went through and the economic downturn effecting the psychology behind materialism? It seems the American "push for more no matter what" mind state took a eating and I think I'm seeing some consequences of that. 1) It's possible, but my pretty strong prediction is that within 1-2 years of the pandemic ending, we will be back to where we were beforehand in terms of materialism and general behavior. Extreme events like a pandemic seem like they are life changers. For some, that's true (e.g. someone loses a loved one), but for most it's not. We are inherently myopic and think that the thing in front of our noses is the only thing that exists.
2) I'm a current medical student and we get inundated with so many studies that it's overwhelming. Trying to practice evidence based medicine is really hard in an atmosphere that prioritizes publishing with little regard to quality. Do you ha e ways of navigating that I could apply to my day to day? Thanks again. 2) I can't speak to medical research, but that problem exists in all academic fields. The best thing to do is to let science happen. There will always be flashy new findings, but the ones that really matter will get replicated over and over again...and will get built on. The BS ones tend to just die out. That's not a full proof approach to vetting research, but it's better than just assuming everything you see published is true and/or important.
I am a former CMU student. How do you feel about CMU's decision to appoint Richard Grenell as a senior fellow? And how can we do something to fight against it because it seems they are not listening the current student body? Recently, the fence was vandalized against BLM (they wrote "all lives matter" over the previously written "black lives matter"). How are you working to build a more inclusive community at CMU and to fight for those who need it? How can former students help? I signed the petition to revoke his appointment and stand by that completely. I do understand why the university is upholding it, but I am embarrassed to have him associated with CMU.
As for the fence, the CMU Provost sent a really great letter immediately after it all happened condemning the vandalism and supporting BLM. Personally, I try VERY hard to do things like call on students of all races and genders and not let white men (of which I am one, btw) dominate conversations. I try to make sure that examples I use to highlight ideas include more than just typically white and/or male oriented products. I have been trained in Green Dot deescalation for sexual assault and violence. I am on the university academic disciplinary committee and have direct say over infractions like harassment or discrimination. And I sit on my college's Faculty Diversity Equity and Inclusion committee with the hope of including representation and inclusion of URM and female faculty. I care about this topic a LOT and do what I can...still probably not enough.
As for alums, if you see behavior at CMU that you think is antithetical to inclusiveness, let the administration know. Get your fellow alums to weigh in. The university wants your sweet sweet alumni donations. If you are all pissed off, they'll reply.
Hey Professor! I absolutely love to give. But I feel so awkward being thanked. And I dont really like receiving gifts. What would the psychology behind that be? Great question. It's hard to know without more detail, but I'd guess that some of that anxiety is about attention...as in, your lack of desire for it. As for not liking receiving gifts, maybe you have just not received that many good gifts? Again, it's really hard to say without knowing a bit more about you and the gift giving contexts you're involved in. If you want to share more, I can try to answer better, but totally understandable if you don't!
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Well, if I think more deeply....whenever I need something, I feel like it's up to me to make me happy. I usually don't really ask anyone else. Whether I need a massage, have a getaway, or get my dream dog, I just do it myself. As an aside, self-gifts are great! You get what you need, and nothing else. No issues there.
To your question, though, I do wonder if you just haven't receive that many great gifts. Yes, gifts can fall flat and the recipient might not love them, but when they hit, they not only provide the value from the gift itself (e.g. a great bottle of wine) but ALSO the sentimental value from the associations that the gift brings up (e.g. who gave it to you and under what circumstances...like for a birthday or graduation).
Hi Jeff, I have a job application at a place where they do conjoint analysis, something I have never done before. Got any tips? Do you have any thoughts on the technique in general? Personally as someone who takes surveys I find it very abstract (e.g. "Would you rather buy a $5 toaster with two slots vs. a $20 toaster that takes bagels?" I don't know!). First, good luck with the job application! Conjoint is a really useful tool when used correctly (like any tool, I suppose). The short version is that it lets you extract utility weights for different dimensions (e.g. price, product size, product speed, etc...) without directly asking people to answer questions about those dimensions. So instead of saying "how important is price to you?" you would come up with product profiles that have varying price (among other things) and then have people choose between those profiles. You can then extract, using nothing more than regression analysis (though, practically, no one does it that way...they use software like Sawtooth or SPSS Conjoint), how important those dimensions are for any given person.
the technique is tedious in that respondents have to make LOTS of pair-wise comparisons, but the end product can teach you a lot about what people actually value.
One key is to make the task as simple and realistic as possible. So the example you gave is confusing and wouldn't work too well. But I asked you to choose between a $20 toaster with 2 slots vs. a $30 toaster with 3 slots" that would work (in reality it would be more complex than that). You'd be forced to tell me if you prefer a cheaper toaster with fewer slots or a more expensive one with more slots. There's not right answer, but I would learn about those two dimensions for you. I'd need a lot more pair-wise tradeoffs to do this right, but that's the general idea.
Do you find that there are significant differences between particular groups? Does age influence gift giving habits more then sex, or some other factor? Just curious about the general trends of gift giving between groups. Super general question I know, so feel free to just call me out on it Definitely difference across genders as you would expect. More jewelry given by men to women. More gadgets given by women to men. Not so much in terms of age, though I've never really directly looked at that. The reality is that most gifts aren't that exciting. They tend to be things that are popular in a given year or old standbys like gift cards and ties. There certainly are amazing gifts and gift givers out there, but the vast majority of actual gifts given are pretty mundane. But that's not a bad thing if the recipient still likes what they get!
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Yeah, sounds about right. And yeah if everyone is chipper it's all good :) Is there a sort of gift quality vs quantity data? Like is it better to get more frequent smaller gifts or largemore expensive gifts less frequently? Smaller more frequent gifts every time. I have some new work on obligatory vs. non-obligatory gifts. Basically, you can make someone very happy by giving a small gift on a random Tuesday compared to a much nicer gift on their Birthday. More random-tuesday gifts every time!
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Thank you! :) will the results of that be on ur channel? Probably not. The channel isn't about my research, but rather about how to understand data more broadly. But the results will hopefully be published soon!
How extensive are the consumer psychology divisions in companies like apple? Lots of variation. Places like apple, google, amazon will have a lot of depth in terms of psychologist and consumer behavior researchers. But those are the gold standard. Most will rely on consultants to help out
How does education on finance and economics affect consumer behavior? Does knowing the way our brains make consumer decisions or how businesses try to get you to buy change how you shop? If you understand better how firms are trying to entice you to buy their products, you can absolutely counteract that better. For instance, $1.99 is really just $2...we all get that. But it turns out, having a 9-ending price really drives demand. That's nuts, but it does. IF you understand that, you stand a shot and not being duped by something so trivial. So educating yourself can be a big help. On finance and econ eduction, also really helpful, but in other ways. When you go to get a 30-year mortgage for your home, understanding how interest rates work, how inflation might affect home prices, how amortization tables work, etc... will help you make a much more informed decision about what is right for you.
hi! how do you predict consumer happiness/decision making etc during unprecedented times like this, when such a scenario may not have taken place before and you do not have much data to go on? also since the research you do and the data you collect are relevant to sales, do you see advertisements being affected by the pandemic in the long run from any changes in consumer mindset? It's really hard to predict much of anything right now. There are some basic behaviors and experiences that we can expect during a pandemic (e.g. increased anxiety, defaulting to familiar experiences, increased online shopping), but the reality is you're right...we just don't know. There's virtually no data on pandemic psychology/behavior, and all the pop-science stuff you read is just guessing at what will happen.
As for advertising, I think that once the pandemic is over, life will be back to what it was beforehand in almost every respect. People are amazing to adapting to changing circumstances. We are all doing that now with the pandemic and will all do that again when it's over. I don't think that advertising will be any different. Give it a year after we're all vaccinated (or whatever winds up being the solution) and most people will largely forget that we even had a pandemic. Yes, some will have big changes like lost loved ones or lost jobs, but for most people, life will return to what it was before Covid hit.
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thank you for answering, that is very interesting! the data you collect seems to be applicable to so many different fields. i asked about advertising as a student interested in media, but i can see it being useful in various types of companies be it internet security, food, travel etc. your job sounds really cool and i will definitely check out your YouTube channel :) Thanks!
Did you ever get to meet Herbert Simon? Wasn't he interested in similar things? I wish! I've been at CMU for 11 years. Simon passed away in 2001, so I missed him by a few years.
And yes, Simon was one of the original researchers into what's known as Bounded Rationality, it's the idea that humans don't act like computers and process all information simultaneously, but rather use heuristics and shortcuts to accomplish most tasks.
How influential was the work of Daniel Kahnemann to your current teaching? VERY! I don't know Danny personally, but my advisor got his PhD at Princeton when Danny was there, so lots of indirect influence that way. More generally, the field of decision making was build on his (and others) work, so hard not to be influenced.
Do you have any opinions on investors behavior during covid 19? More specifically how certain financial firms may have targeted people who have or would dabble in market that have recently lost work due to the pandemic? Caveat: I am not a finance professor. That said, my read is that fear of missing out (FOMO) is driving a lot of unexpected behaviors. The market has rallied like crazy since the March low and everyone wants in on that. It's hard to sit by and watch others make a killing while you don't.
As for practices like getting people who don't typically to invest to do so, there's two sides to this. On the one hand, getting more people involved with investing is a great thing. It used to be only that the very wealthy could invest and reap the benefits of the market, but now with places like Robinhood and fee-free trading on Schwab and the like, everyone can participate. On the other hand, MANY people don't understand risk well at all. They just see the possible upside and ignore the possibility of losing a lot (see that guy that committed suicide b/c of a terrible options trade...that's horrible). So firms and gov't have a responsibility to both educate investors and provide safeguards against uninformed behaviors.
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Hello, I just want to specify something in your comment! The young college student who committed suicide did so because a misprogrammed number on the trading site, Robinhood. Of course at the time he did not know it, but the value loss that was near $800,000, was showing the loss of the entire option, not his equity in the option, which was -$1,000 - -$2,000 if I remember right. It was Robinhood's terrible interface, not his misunderstanding of risk, which is horrible. If you would like a misunderstanding of risk on trading platforms, look no further than wallstreetbets, of course as you said FOMO is a huge factor, or if you're interested, some trading platforms intentionally advertise to consumers without properly representing risk. Thank you very much for this AMA, it has been quite insightful! Thanks so much for that clarification!
I have a question re: dating sites / apps. Is there a way to structure incentives so that the company is motivated to find good pairings between users? It feels like Tinder, Bumble, Hinge, etc. don't have such an incentive currently I think they do have an incentive to make good pairings. Word of mouth is their strongest asset so having good matches is key. The challenge is that good matches are hard to come by and not everyone agrees on what good is. Is good marriage? Is it a fun night? Not clear.
Hello Professor and thank you for taking this time. As a professional that works in marketing and a person who suffers from mental illnesses, it is often disheartening for me to see so much valuable research and findings be easily made available for use by companies for marketing and consumer exploitation while it is so difficult for those who are struggling to find information that could be beneficial to living their lives more freely. What are your thoughts on this, and do you think there are ways we could change the system to better benefit individuals needs directly? The connection between marketing academia, marketing industry, and consumers just sucks. No one outside of academia reads marketing academic journals. Few in academia care if their work has applications (even in an applied field like marketing). And consumers can't be bothered (rightfully) to read through academic work to learn.
Some solutions that I've seen that work: - Marketing Science Institute: this is an organization whose entire goal is link academia and practice. They have conferences where they invite folks from both sides to collaborate. More of this please! - Pop-science social science books like Freakonomics, Blink, Predictably Irrational, etc...: They all have plenty of shortcomings, but the authors all do an amazing job of conveying the ideas of academia to the public. I think that's fantastic. More of this too please! - Consulting for non-profits. I do this and many others do as well. We use our knowledge to help non-profits do their amazing work. This is a way to avoid that "exploitation" you mentioned and instead use what we know to help others. There's not much money in this kind of consulting, which is why few do it, but it's really important. Maybe some kind of granting agency could earmark money for non-profits to hire academic consultants to help them use what we know to help the world. That would be awesome
hey, I'm a recent advertisement graduate, it's good to see someone from such a familiar field here anyways, when I do groceries, I always follow the list to a T, and I take no time at all getting the items, basically, I go against every little trick supermarkets have to "seduce" the customer, so my question is: what makes someone a "good customer"? is it someone highly susceptible to the marketing tricks at the market or someone who spends both their money and time more efficiently? Good can mean different things here. You sound like you're probably super loyal to products. That's pretty great for most companies. The fact that you don't succumb to unintended purchases definitely makes you less attractive in one capacity, but your predictability makes you very attractive in other ways. If I could run a company where every customer always bought the same thing every week, I would LOVE that. I would know how to schedule raw material purchases, delivery schedules, etc... I would have a steady and dependable income. If, however, I relied just on getting lucky and catching the eye of customers as they passed my products on store shelves, that would be a whole lot more difficult a business plan to execute.
Hi Jeff, I have always geared my life towards maxing out the benefits and deducting the losses for example leaving my family in order to search for better life oportunities, ditching jobs where I felt safe in favor of new and more promising ones. And by this logic I have reached quIte far in my life. But at the end achieving all this goals don't yields the expected satisfaction. However I'm pretty sure that don't doing this would be even worse. Why does it seems that no matter if the desitions taken are the best at my point of view it still seems like I need more than the goals I have achieved. Why is disatisfaction the expected result? Wow, that's a lot to give up for goals! People are inherently likely to make what are known as upward comparisons. We don't look at the people who we have done better than, but instead focus on the few who done better than us. The classic example is Silver Olympic medalists. They should be elated, but instead they just covet the Gold medalist.
Beyond that, in your specific case, it's hard to say for sure, but we know that close relationships are the number one driver of life satisfaction. If you've given those all up in pursuit of some other goal, that might explain things a bit. Take that with a grain of salt as all I know about you is summed up in 100 words or so!
Hello Jeff, glad to see this AMA here! I'm a statistics student in Brazil (one of my professors got his doctorate degree at Carnegie Mellon University, in fact!). Much of what we learn nowadays is related to careers pertaining the finance fields. Other stuff includes academic research mixed with other fields. I see myself as a data analyst for a big bank someday, but I always think: is there any career for a data scientist thats underrated by modern standards but still awesome and rewarding, in your opinion? Go work for a non-profit! It's now where the money is, but many need help from data scientists. You can actually change the world that way!
Which US dollar bill is your favorite? Cash? You still use cash?
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For coke yeah Oh, in that case.... Nope, not replying and losing my tenure :)
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Prof, you have a bias. OP mean Coca Cola. I don't drink soda either :)
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Race Thread: MENCS Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway, starting at 2:46pm EDT on NBC (MENCS32)

Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway
Green Flag: approximately 2:46pm EDT on October 20th
Television: NBC @ 2:30pm EDT
Radio: MRN @ 2:30pm EDT
Race Length: 267 laps (400.5 mi / 644.54 km)
Race Stages: 80-80-107
Track Information: Kansas Speedway is a 1.5 mile (2.41 kilometer) quad-oval located in Kansas City, KS USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: 8 Daniel Hemric
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(P) 8 12 42 6 3 19 10 1 36 17 14 11 24 95 22 32 15 52 53 66
38 2 34 41 43 48 9 88 18 20 21 13 37 47 00 96 27 51 77 4
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
NASCAR Drive at NASCAR.com
Notes:
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Mega eTextbooks release thread (part-27)! Find your textbooks here between $5-$25 :)

Please find the list below:
  1. Managerial Economics and Strategy, Global 2nd Edition: Jeffrey M. Perloff & James A. Brander
  2. Information Technology and Organizational Learning: Managing Behavioral Change in the Digital Age, 3rd Edition: Arthur M. Langer
  3. Human Anatomy & Physiology Laboratory Manual: Elaine N. Marieb & Lori A. Smith
  4. Principles of Molecular Virology, 6th Edition: Alan J. Cann
  5. The Wiley Handbook of Global Educational Reform, 1st Edition: Kenneth J. Saltman & Alexander J. Means
  6. Prescott's Microbiology, 10th Edition: Joanne Willey & Linda Sherwood & Christopher J. Woolverton
  7. Systems Analysis and Design, 6th Edition: Alan Dennis & Barbara Haley Wixom & Roberta M. Roth
  8. Love and Intimacy in Online Cross-Cultural Relationships: The Power of Imagination, 1st Edition: Wilasinee Pananakhonsab
  9. The Human Organism: Explorations in Biological Anthropology, 1st Edition: Elizabeth Weiss
  10. Nursing Theories and Nursing Practice, 4th Edition: Marlaine Smith & Marilyn Parker
  11. Statistics for Nursing: A Practical Approach, 3rd Edition: Elizabeth Heavey
  12. Life Cycle Assessment of Energy Systems: Closing the Ethical Loophole of Social Sustainability, English Edition: Nicholas Sakellariou
  13. A Practical Guide to Welding Solutions: Overcoming Technical and Material-Specific Issues: Robert W. Messler
  14. Programming the World Wide Web, 8th Edition: Robert W. Sebesta
  15. Maternal and Child Health Nursing: Care of the Childbearing and Childrearing Family, 8th Edition: JoAnne Silbert-Flagg & Adele Pillitteri
  16. Cengage Advantage Books: Culture Counts: A Concise Introduction to Cultural Anthropology, 4th Edition: Serena Nanda & Richard L. Warms
  17. International Management Behavior: Global and Sustainable Leadership, 7th Edition: Henry W. Lane & Martha L. Maznevski
  18. Cultural Competence in Health Education and Health Promotion, 2nd Edition: Miguel A. P¿rez & Raffy R. Luquis
  19. Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting, 1st Edition: Andrew Robertson & Frederic Vitart
  20. Retail Analytics: Integrated Forecasting and Inventory Management for Perishable Products in Retailing, 2015th Edition: Anna-Lena Sachs
  21. Molecular and Cell Biology of Cancer: When Cells Break the Rules and Hijack Their Own Planet, 1st Edition: Rita Fior & Rita Zilhão
  22. Qualitative Marketing Research: Understanding Consumer Behaviour, 1st Edition: Dominika Maison
  23. Communicating in Small Groups: Principles and Practices, 11th Edition: Steven A. Beebe & John T. Masterson
  24. America's Courts and the Criminal Justice System, 13th Edition: David W. Neubauer & Henry F. Fradella
  25. Services Marketing: Concepts, Strategies & Cases, 4th Edition: K. Douglas Hoffman & John E.G. Bateson
  26. Kinematics, Dynamics, and Design of Machinery, 3rd Edition: Kenneth J. Waldron & Gary L. Kinzel & Sunil K. Agrawal
  27. Essentials of Cultural Anthropology: A Toolkit for a Global Age, 2nd Edition: Kenneth J. Guest
  28. An Anthropology of Learning: On Nested Frictions in Cultural Ecologies, 2015th Edition: Cathrine Hasse
  29. Health Promotion Programs: From Theory to Practice, 1st Edition: Society for Public Health Education (SOPHE) & Carl I. Fertman & Diane D. Allensworth
  30. The American Lab: An Insider’s History of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory: C. Bruce Tarter
  31. Food Security and Climate Change, 1st Edition: Shyam Singh Yadav & Robert J. Redden & Jerry L. Hatfield & Andreas W. Ebert & Danny Hunter
  32. Health Assessment for Nursing Practice, 6th Edition: Susan F. Wilson & Jean Foret Giddens
  33. Tobacco Smoking Addiction: Epidemiology, Genetics, Mechanisms, and Treatment: Ming D. Li
  34. Cultural Anthropology: Asking Questions About Humanity, 2nd Edition: Robert L. Welsch & Luis A. Vivanco
  35. Accounting for Governmental & Nonprofit Entities, 17th Edition: Jacqueline Reck & Suzanne Lowensohn & Earl Wilson
  36. Addiction and Change: How Addictions Develop and Addicted People Recover, 2nd Edition: Carlo C. DiClemente
  37. Culture and the Politics of Welfare: Exploring Societal Values and Social Choices: J. Hudson & N. Jo & A. Keung
  38. Essential University Physics: Volume 2, 3rd Edition: Richard Wolfson
  39. Publication Manual of the American Psychological Association, 6th Edition: American Psychological Association
  40. Concepts of Programming Languages, 11th Global Edition: Robert Sebesta
  41. Through the Lens of Anthropology: An Introduction to Human Evolution and Culture, 1st Edition: Robert J. Muckle & Laura Tubelle de González
  42. Practical Research: Planning and Design, 11th Edition: Paul D. Leedy & Jeanne Ellis Ormrod
  43. Environment: The Science Behind the Stories, 6th Edition: Jay H. Withgott & Matthew Laposata
  44. Environment: The Science Behind the Stories, 3rd Canadian Edition: Jay H. Withgott & Matthew Laposata & Barbara Murck
  45. Applied Calculus for the Managerial, Life, and Social Sciences: A Brief Approach, 10th Edition: Soo T. Tan
  46. Essential Environment: The Science Behind the Stories, 5th Edition: Jay H. Withgott & Matthew Laposata
  47. Leadership and School Quality: Michael DiPaola & Wayne K. Hoy
  48. Group Dynamics, 7th Edition: Donelson R. Forsyth
  49. Practitioners' Guide to Human Rights Law in Armed Conflict, 1st Edition: Daragh Murray & Elizabeth Wilmshurst & Francoise Hampson & Charles Garraway & Noam Lubell & Dapo Akande
  50. Educational Administration: Theory, Research, and Practice, 9th Edition: Wayne Hoy & Cecil Miskel
  51. Group Dynamics for Teams, 5th Edition: Daniel J. Levi
  52. Human Behavior and the Social Environment: Shifting Paradigms in Essential Knowledge for Social Work Practice, 6th Edition: Joe M. Schriver
  53. Economics of Development, 7th Edition: Dwight H. Perkins & Steven Radelet & David L. Lindauer & Steven A. Block
  54. Carbon Nanomaterials for Bioimaging, Bioanalysis, and Therapy, English Edition:por Yuen Y. Hui & Huang-Cheng Chang & Haifeng Dong & Xueji Zhang
  55. Canadian Essentials of Nursing Research, 3rd Edition: Carmen G. Loiselle & Joanne Profetto-McGrath & Denise F. Polit & Cheryl T. Beck
  56. Rock Dynamics: From Research to Engineering: Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Rock Dynamics and Applications, 1st Edition: Haibo Li & Jianchun Li & Qianbing Zhang & Jian Zhao
  57. Organic Chemistry As a Second Language: Second Semester Topics, 4th Edition: David R. Klein
  58. International Dimensions of Organizational Behavior, 5th Edition: Nancy J. Adler & Allison Gundersen
  59. An Introduction to Group Work Practice, 8th Edition: Ronald W. Toseland & Robert F. Rivas
  60. Bacterial Therapy of Cancer: Methods and Protocols, 1st Edition: Robert Hoffman
  61. Design Optimization of Fluid Machinery: Applying Computational Fluid Dynamics and Numerical Optimization, 1st Edition: Kwang-Yong Kim & Abdus Samad & Ernesto Benini
  62. Children, 13th Edition: John W. Santrock
  63. Retail Supply Chain Management, 2nd Edition: James B. Ayers & Mary Ann Odegaard
  64. Research Methods for Business Students, 7th Edition: Mark N.K. Saunders & Philip Lewis & Adrian Thornhill
  65. Fundamental Principles of Law and Economics, 1st Edition: Alan Devlin
  66. Principles of Economics, A Streamlined Approach with Connect, 3rd Edition: Robert Frank & Ben Bernanke & Kate Antonovics & Ori Heffetz
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  73. Health Promotion in School: Theory, Practice and Clinical Implications, UK Edition: Antonio Iudici M.D.
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  181. The Strategic Management of Health Care Organizations, 8th Edition: Peter M. Ginter & W. Jack Duncan & Linda E. Swayne
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  234. Unified Design of Steel Structures, 3rd Edition: Louis Geschwindner & Judy Liu & Charles Carter
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  238. European Psychiatric/Mental Health Nursing in the 21st Century: A Person-Centred Evidence-Based Approach, 1st Edition: José Carlos Santos & John R. Cutcliffe
  239. Financial Markets & Institutions, 9th Global Edition: Stanley Eakins Frederic Mishkin
  240. Liaisons, Student Edition: An Introduction to French, 3rd Edition: Wynne Wong & Stacey Weber-Fève & Bill VanPatten
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  242. Strategic Management: Concepts and Cases: Competitiveness and Globalization, 13th Edition: Michael A. Hitt & R. Duane Ireland & Robert E. Hoskisson
  243. Foundations of Financial Markets and Institutions: Pearson New International Edition, 4th Edition: Frank J Fabozzi & Franco P. Modigliani & Frank J. Jones
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  254. Pocket Companion for Physical Examination and Health Assessment, 7th Edition: Carolyn Jarvis
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  280. Basic Guide to Medical Emergencies in the Dental Practice, 2nd Edition: Philip Jevon
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  287. Computers as Components: Principles of Embedded Computing System Design, 4th Edition: Marilyn Wolf
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  295. Atlas of Interstitial Lung Disease Pathology: Pathology with High Resolution CT Correlations, 1st Edition: Andrew Churg
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  309. Anderson's Business Law and the Legal Environment, Comprehensive Volume, 23rd Edition: David P. Twomey & Marianne M. Jennings & Stephanie M Greene
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  338. Elementary Number Theory with Programming, 1st Edition: Marty Lewinter & Jeanine Meyer
  339. Motor Learning and Control: Concepts and Applications, 11th Edition: Richard Magill & David Anderson
  340. Construction Project Management, 6th Edition: S. Keoki Sears & Glenn A. Sears & Richard H. Clough & Jerald L. Rounds & Robert O. Segner
  341. Fundamentals of Human Resource Management, 6th Edition: Raymond Noe & John Hollenbeck & Barry Gerhart & Patrick Wright
  342. Leadership: A Communication Perspective, 7th Edition: Craig E. Johnson & Michael Z. Hackman
  343. Managing Cultural Differences: Global Leadership for the 21st Century, 10th Edition: Neil Remington Abramson & Robert T. Moran
  344. Deep Brain Stimulation Programming: Mechanisms, Principles and Practice, 2nd Edition: Erwin B Montgomery
  345. International Business: Competing in the Global Marketplace, 12th Edition: Charles Hill & G. Tomas M. Hult
  346. International Business: Competing in the Global Marketplace, 10th Edition: Charles Hill
  347. Theories of Human Communication, 11th Edition: Stephen W. Littlejohn & Karen A. Foss & John G. Oetzel
  348. Designing the User Interface: Strategies for Effective Human-Computer Interaction, 6th Edition: Ben Shneiderman & Catherine Plaisant & Maxine Cohen
  349. Quality Management in Construction Projects, 2nd Edition: Abdul Razzak Rumane
  350. Skills Management: New Applications, New Questions, 1st Edition: Alain Roger & Didier Vinot
  351. Pig Disease Identification and Diagnosis Guide: A Farm Handbook, 1st Edition: Steven McOrist
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Race Thread: MENCS Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, starting at 3:14pm EDT on NBCSN (MENCS20)

Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Green Flag: approximately 3:14pm EDT on July 21st
Television: NBCSN @ 3pm EDT
Radio: PRN @ 3pm EDT
Race Length: 301 laps (318.46 mi / 512.51 km)
Race Stages: 80-80-141
Track Information: New Hampshire Motor Speedway is a 1.058 mile (1.7 kilometer) oval located in Loudon, NH USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: 2 Brad Keselowski
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
(P) 2 1 12 95 10 17 41 42 21 8 3 11 37 43 32 00 27 51 88
18 20 19 22 48 9 4 14 13 38 24 34 6 47 36 15 77 52
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
NASCAR Drive at NASCAR.com
Notes:
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Race Thread: MENCS FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway, starting at 2:18pm EDT on FS1 (MENCS15)

FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway
Green Flag: approximately 5pm EDT on June 10th
Television: FS1 @ 5pm EDT
Radio: MRN @ 5pm EDT
Race Length: 200 laps (400 mi / 643.74 km)
Race Stages: 60-60-80
Track Information: Michigan International Speedway is a 2 mile (3.22 kilometer) D-shaped oval located in Brooklyn, MI USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: 22 Joey Logano
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
(P) 22 4 14 1 41 8 12 18 9 48 24 34 13 43 95 37 51 77
10 11 21 2 17 3 20 19 6 88 42 38 36 47 00 32 52 15
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
NASCAR Drive at NASCAR.com
Notes:
Support NASCARThreadBot, an automated bot maintained by XFile345.
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Race Thread: NXS Desert Diamond Casino WestValley 200 at ISM Raceway, starting at 3:45pm EST on NBC (NXS32)

Desert Diamond Casino WestValley 200 at ISM Raceway
Green Flag: approximately 3:45pm EST on November 9th
Television: NBC @ 3:30pm EST
Radio: MRN @ 3:30pm EST
Race Length: 200 laps (200 mi / 321.87 km)
Race Stages: 45-45-110
Track Information: ISM Raceway is a 1 mile (1.61 kilometer) D-shaped tri-oval located in Avondale, AZ USA.
Weather Forecast: NASCAR.com / AccuWeather.com
Pole Winner: #20 Christopher Bell
Starting Lineup via NASCAR.com (view the pdf):
Row: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
(P)  20   98   7   22   1   18   23   08   86   07   78   36   01   61   4   52   15   0   74 
 00   2   8   19   51   9   11   39   89   38   35   90   93   92   17   99   13   5   66 
Current Standings at NASCAR.com
Race Center at NASCAR.com
Notes:
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Trip Report: Eagle Rock Loop, Ouachita National Forest, Arkansas, March 8-10 2020

Location: Arkansas, Ouachita National Forest
Dates: March 8th to Match 10th
Route: Eagle Rock Loop
Distance: ~27 miles
Conditions: Rainy. All day light to medium rainfall forecasted for day 2 of the trip. Highs ranging from 60s to 70s and lows in the 40s.
Who: Me, a friend, and my 14 year old daughter.
Gear List: https://lighterpack.com/vpla1q
Trip vlog: https://youtu.be/V6-HvTWGuHU
Overview: This trail offers the longest loop trail in Arkansas. A combination of the Little Missouri, the Athens-Big Fork and part of the Viles Branch Horse Trail, this trail travels through the southwestern portion of the Ouachita National Forest. Trail difficulty ranges from easy to most difficult. The trail has numerous river, stream and creek crossings and travels over nine mountains
Our Route: Originally we intended to start at the Athens-Big Fork South Trailhead in the southwest corner of the loop. The idea was that we would tackle the 6 ridges on the west side of the loop on day one and deal with the multiple river crossings day 2 (generally considered the crux of the loop). However, with heavy rain some of the crossings can become impassable or require some serious bushwhacking to get around. Since there was lots of rain forecasted for day 2, we opted instead to start near the Albert Pike Recreation Area so that we could knock out some of the larger river crossings before the water levels got deeper.
Day 1: We left Houston around 8am and arrived at the trailhead around 3pm. There was nowhere left to park at Albert Pike so we had to drive down a dirt road to a nearby trailhead. In hindsight this is a better place to park anyways since the limited spots at Albert Pike seem to be used for day use. Albert Pike has limited parking and remains closed to campers. This was the sight of a flash flooding disaster 10 years ago that killed 20 people. We set off towards the loop and had our first small creek crossing right away. Shortly after we somehow missed the connection to the loop from the trailhead and ended up quite a bit off trail. Luckily we had Guthook and could see that trail was a few hundred feet above us on a ridge. We bushwhacked up a hill for quite some time. We were beginning to get a little discouraged as the brush got thicker but finally after summiting the ridge we found the trail. Off to a great start! The rest of the day went smooth. The deepest crossing was still below my knees but the water was moving pretty fast. Feet were definitely soaked the rest of the day. The Southern part of the loop is probably my favorite. Lots of cool rock formations and a lot of variation in the trail. The river looks amazing here and it really encapsulates the beauty of the area.
We made past the junction for the Athens-Big Fork South trailhead and headed up the first ridge of the six we would climb the next day. I felt like this ridge was the toughest. Maybe it was just because it was the first day but it seemed really steep compared to some of the others. In Arkansas they apparently do not believe in switchbacks. As we reached the top we found a beautiful campsite with some awesome views. However it was a little windy and we feared that there could be some lightning as the storm was rolling in. We descended down the ridge and found a campsite tucked away near a small stream. We took advantage of an existing fire pit and attempted to dry our socks and shoes while we ate dinner. I shared my duplex with my daughter and it was the first time I had used it for two people. I was pleasantly surprised with how well it worked. Didn't feel cramped and we had a good nights rest.
Day 2: I could easily sum this day up with one word. RAIN. It started raining as we were packing up in the morning and it literally never stopped until about midnight. Gear note: I am done with my 3F UL rain skirt. It was no match for the combination of wind and rain. The wind would blow the skirt open and I'm pretty sure I would have been equally as wet with no rain bottoms at all. As soon as I got home I ordered a pair of rain pants from Enlightened Equipment.
We made our way through the remaining 5 ridges. I had worried about my daughter keeping up with us as it was her first multi-day hike but I soon realized how foolish that thought was. She ran circles around the two grown men. She would race up to the top of the ridge and wait for us. The temprature was probably in the 60s but with the high winds and rain, it was pretty cold. We passed through the Little Missouri/Athens-Big Fork area around 4pm and stopped to enjoy the amazing river views. The water at this point was flowing rapidly and there are some nice falls a few minutes walk from the recreation area at this trailhead. We were growing tired of the ceaseless rain and decided to make camp early. It was nice to get out of the wet clothes, eat a hot meal, and relax in the tent. We hadn't stopped to eat during the day because with all the rain, it was just more comfortable to keep moving. We were hoping that the rain would let up around 6-7 so we could have a small fire and chat but it kept going until we were asleep.
Day 3: We woke up the next morning and miraculously it was no longer raining. At this point everything we owned was soaked. Main socks, back up socks, shoes, pants, etc. Putting on a wet pair of Injinji socks is not my favorite feeling in the world. We trudged on and made our way along the Little Missouri river. As the day went on, the sun started to poke out and by 10am we hit the best weather of the trip. Sunny and high 70s. Around noon we hit our biggest crossing of the trip. The water was waist high on my daughter and above the knees on me. We bushwhacked a bit until we found a spot that seemed safe enough. We locked arms and crossed. It was a bit a of a rush but didn't feel too sketchy. I think that if we had gone with our original itinerary there was a crossing on Day 1 that would have been hella sketchy on day 2. I'm glad we opted to change our starting spot. The rest of the hike was fairly easy. There's a small summit once you pass Albert Pike and with the sun being out we managed to catch our first really bomber view. Up until now the summits had all been blanketed by thick fog. After taking some videos and pictures we descended back towards the Jeep. Annoyingly my knee started burning in the last 1-2 miles. We were right along the dirt road that we came in on so after slowing us down for a mile I opted to plant my ass on the dirt and have them pick me up. Not my proudest moment but I figured there was no use in causing more damage to my knee when they could easily grab the Jeep and pick me up. Turns out it was nothing serious. Just a mild strain.
Final Thoughts: This was a great hike and by far the best hike within 7 hours of Houston that I've experienced. My last big hike was the OML in Big Bend and it was wonderful to have an abundance of water this time. There is literally no need to carry more than 1L at a time as the water is everywhere. The area was more beautiful then i had imagined and the elevation was enough to get the heart pumping and the legs burning. I have never hiked the AT but it seems similar to a lot of the more Southern sections I've seen. Lots of switchback-less ridges, water, and trees. I would definitely like to try it again at some point and hopefully the weather will cooperate a little better. On day 3 when the sun came out the place lit up spectacularly.
I would recommend Guthook for this trail. It was really helpful in a lot of ways. GPS was accurate and there were lots of campsites with good descriptions and pictures on the app. The trail can be a little tricky to follow at times. We tended to get off trail around the water crossings and then would have to use the app to get back on track.
My poker vlog has basically turned into a hiking vlog at this point. Even when this is all over I'm not super keen on heading back into casinos. Seems like a bad place to be when there is a pandemic lurking. I will definitely be heading back out for more backpacking as soon as I can though. Looking for summer options in case that becomes feasible. Really have my eye on multiple loops in the Grand Tetons but a little worried that without having a permit already, walking up might be too risky. Seems a little less so since there is more than one loop and there are campsites that are outside the NP boundaries and do not require permits.
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Saturday evening FOX 12 weather forecast (1/11) - YouTube

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